Supply Chain Resilience under Maritime Chokepoint Disruptions: Route Feasibility and Digital Response in Saudi Arabian Food Cold Chains
Author's Name:
Bandar Altubaishe
Department of Supply Chain Management, College of Business Administration, University of Business and Technology, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
Maritime disruptions expose a fundamental distinction between identifying threats to refrigerated cargo and maintaining operationally viable alternatives for its delivery. Focusing on Saudi Arabia’s food cold chains during the 2026 disruptions affecting the Hormuz and Bab al-Mandab chokepoints, this study investigates the conditions under which disruption awareness translates into actionable logistical responses. Drawing on a purposively selected synthesis of academic literature and official documentation, the research develops a route-dependent analytical model that incorporates chokepoint accessibility, refrigerated transport capacity, product-specific time budgets and response latency. The model evaluates four route families under four corridor states, with logical consistency verified through exhaustive binary enumeration. Three principal findings emerge. First, disruption exposure is determined by shipment origin and approach direction, rather than solely by the coastal location of the destination gateway. Second, routes operating independently of disrupted corridors retain delivery feasibility only where refrigerated capacity and product-life requirements remain satisfied. Third, accelerated digital responses can recover feasible delivery options exclusively within a bounded residual-time interval, whereas enhanced monitoring cannot overcome physical constraints that render delivery infeasible. These deductions inform a five-mechanism disruption transmission framework and an eight-capability intervention map linking analytical outcomes to operational decision-making. By identifying the precise circumstances in which information alters the set of admissible routing alternatives, the study advances beyond generalised digital-resilience frameworks. Its findings represent analytical deductions rather than empirical estimates of shipment delays, spoilage losses or technological impacts within Saudi Arabia.